By: HISTORY.com Editors

1861

World’s first weather forecast published

Vice-Admiral Robert FitzRoy, English officer of the Royal Navy and scientist.

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Published: July 23, 2025

Last Updated: July 23, 2025

On August 1, 1861, Robert FitzRoy, a British naval officer who had been researching ways to predict the weather, publishes the first known weather forecast in The Times. The report, which includes a prediction of 62 degrees and clear skies in London, is largely accurate.

Fitzroy—who had captained the famed HMS Beagle, which sailed around the world with naturalist Charles Darwin—had become concerned about the massive loss of life at sea, with more than 7,400 shipwrecks near the British coast over a five-year period. Fitzroy believed advance warning about rough weather could prevent many such tragedies.

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In a world before forecasts, people relied on simply watching clouds or even observing animal behavior to predict storms. When “weather frogs” climbed up a little ladder in a jar with water, for example, it supposedly predicted good weather; if the frog climbed down, people believed rain was coming.

In 1854, FitzRoy, by then a vice-admiral, established the Meteorological Department of the Board of Trade. The organization, later called the Met Office, initially produced wind charts intended to help boats reduce their sailing times. In 1859, the British government gave FitzRoy the authority to start issuing storm warnings, which he did using the electric telegraph, a new technology. He started sending his predictions to newspapers.

After the initial August 1 forecast, weather reports quickly became very popular and syndicated in publications around England. It wasn’t just fishermen and sailors, traditionally affected by the weather, who availed themselves of the forecasts. People involved in organizing events like county fairs and flower shows obsessively followed them as well. Some people even used the forecasts for more speculative purposes, like picking which horse to bet on in races, depending on how the weather might affect track turf.

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Citation Information

Article title
World’s first weather forecast published
Website Name
History
Date Accessed
August 12, 2025
Publisher
A&E Television Networks
Last Updated
July 23, 2025
Original Published Date
July 23, 2025

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